Two days to go for the inaugaration of Barrack Obama. What are the chances of an Obama emerging from the indian political system? Our polotical structure makes it difficult for new people to emerge from the existing parties as they are not directly elected by the people. So if you want to reach the top you have to form your party and win the elections. A few did. NT Ramarao becoming chief minister of Andhra pradesh in 3 months is an example. Mayavati, chief of minister of Uttar Pradesh is another. She rode on the BSP on her way to power though BSP itself was started to give power to the disadvantaged. My hypothesis is that unless the mainstream political parties decentralize themselves and let individuals who want to change the system lead their parties, these individuals have to go their own way. Chiranjeevi, a popular cinema actor, again in AP is an example and Mamata Banerji in West Bengal is another. Again ambitous individuals who want to reach the top but the mainstream parties wouldn't let them. The mainstream parties have a top down decision making with top leadership slots mostly fixed so strong individuals can't enter and lead them. They have to prove them selves in the "street" by winning elections on their own. Perhaps the mainstream parties at some point will decentralize themselves and let leaders be directly elected by the party members. It will throw their parties open to winds of change and let strong individuals enter their parties and lead them.
So till such time we have to hope that an individual emerges from the existing political familes. For my vote, Omar Abdullah, the current chief minister of Jammu & Kashmir is a strong candidate.
Omar Abdullah being elected as the chief minister of Jammu & Kashmir is one of the most positive developments in recent times from the indian political establishment.
He is young, liberal, moderate, articulate and connects with his people. His party people's conference didn't win a decisive vote. He was not anounced as the chief ministerial candidate ahead of the elections. However he still has the potential to be the face of modern india.
His speach in the parliament on the nuclear bill showed his promise. It was well articulated, passionate and above all showed the kind of leaders muslims yearned for in this country. It was above sectarian interests, placed indian strategic interests above all else and presented the best defence for the treaty with the US and that came a muslim leader! The indian state was founded as a secular democracy with equal rights to all religions. A part of pre-independence India didn't believe in that promise. Jinnah lead muslim league wanted a separate state that protects muslim interests. The indian constitution guaranteed equal rights to all religions. J&K is the only state with a muslim majority and thats why the test for idea of india and the indian constitution occurs in kashmir. Can people believe in the indian ideal? can people rise to the highest office of the land based on their merit?
Now election of Omar doesn't prove much for the merit argument. He comes from a privileged family. His grand father was a venerated figure in kashmir, was a chief minister, his father was a chief minister as well and he has connections at the highest with the ruling congress party. Still, that doesn't take away his character, ideals and the promise he presents for the indian democracy. The only realistic chance of his growing upto a national leader lies in Congress party adopting him as one of their young and promising leaders with a prime ministerial potential , a unifying figure for the nation. That can happen only if congress itself is democratized and elects its leaders on the basis of direct elections just like the selection of presidential candidates in the US but in our way. The chances don't seem to be high, but I hope internal democracy in the major parties returns if only for their own survival.